Front-door Adjustment Methods for Causal Inference Front-door Versus Back-door Adjustment with Unmeasured Confounding: Bias Formulas for Front-door and Hybrid Adjustments (with Adam Glynn) In this paper, we develop bias formulas for front-door and frontdoor/back-door hybrid estimators that utilize mechanistic information from post-treatment variables under general patterns... Read more

Evaluating U.S. Social Security Administration Forecasts The accuracy of U.S. Social Security Administration (SSA) demographic and financial forecasts is crucial for the solvency of its Trust Funds, government programs comprising greater than 50% of all federal government expenditures, industry decision making, and the evidence base of... Read more


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